Articles by Tim Lea

Multifaceted geopolitical and economic tensions threaten to disrupt the delicate balance of the world order. Economic forecasts, once predictable, now fluctuate like erratic cyclonic winds. The threats of recession are delicately balanced with interest rate policies that continue to reduce inflation. The threat of tariffs, like an unexpected frost, is decimating established supply chains, creating trade wars. The slowing growth of China casts a long shadow over commodity prices, easing our local markets into the shade. Finally, we have The Trump Effect, whereby long-held economic and geopolitical policies are being upended to create a new world disorder.  Altogether, there is a deep sense of unease amongst investors. It’s a stark warning that we may be facing significant and unpredictable headwinds in 2025. Hence, many investors want predictability and investment safe havens that provide protection from future storms.