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The number economists are most likely to be wrong about in 2024

In the words of John Kenneth Galbraith, ‘We have two classes of forecasters: those who don't know, and those who don't know they don't know.’ You’d be forgiven for believing we are already in the midst of a recession given the amount of bearish economic commentary in recent months. However, at least in nominal terms, the Australian and global economies have continued to grow despite sharply higher interest rates—and it is nominal growth that matters most to equity markets. With the end of the year fast approaching, it’s timely to consider the 2024 economic outlook—and one particular economic forecast that stands out as vulnerable to being wrong as we approach the new year…

23 Nov 2023
 · 6 MIN READ

Where the inflation monster does most of its work

The recent Australian Consumer Sentiment Snapshot reveals Aussie consumers have one particular economic factor front of mind… inflation. The inflation monster is impacting upon consumers’ disposable incomes, and more importantly it’s causing havoc in consumers’ minds where it’s doing most of its insidious work. It’s this growing awareness and fear of inflation which suggests we may be on track for inflation to trend higher than markets (and central bankers) currently believe. If that is indeed the case, the investment implications are significant…

9 Nov 2023
 · 8 MIN READ

How to identify outperforming funds

Australia has a famously large population of highly qualified fund managers considering the size of the country. According to KPGM, Australia’s 647 fund management groups manage $4.3 trillion across 6,451 products. That represents around $170k under management for each and every Australian resident, so it’s a sizeable portion of the nation’s wealth. This translates into opportunity for individual investors who know what to look for in the vast smorgasbord of fund management options at their disposal.

2 Nov 2023
 · 9 MIN READ

Legendary CEO Shares Secrets to 150,000%+ Returns

It’s not often the management of companies which outperform in the extreme share the secrets of their success with the investment world at large. When it happens, it pays to sit up and listen. For investors, these conversations provide valuable clues as to how to identify the management teams of future multi-baggers.

19 Oct 2023
 · 12 MIN READ

The most important question to ask your fund manager

Picking the right fund manager to manage your assets is arguably an underrated and under-discussed process which is as complex as stock picking. As with all financial decisions, it’s important to ensure your fund managers’ strategy and process aligns with your risk appetite, return objectives, and time horizon. You’ll also want your fund managers to have conviction in what they’re doing. On that front, there’s one question investors you can ask prospective fund managers which reveals their genuine conviction level above all other questions… do you have skin in the game?

5 Oct 2023
 · 6 MIN READ

Why you should be dollar cost averaging

It’s long been recognised that stock markets have a habit of making intelligent people look stupid. The fundamental reason is simple but often ignored… share price movements can be wild and unpredictable, and often confound investor’s expectations. And yet, with investors increasingly watching their stock price movements like hawks the temptation to account for unexpected stock moves with rational explanations often leads to sub-optimal results.

27 Sept 2023
 · 6 MIN READ

What the great wealth transfer means for markets

The baby boomers have long been recognised as the wealthiest generation ever. But as per the famous expression, you can’t take it with you. With baby boomers’ ages ranging from fifty-nine to seventy-seven, there’s no escaping the fact we’re close to witnessing a passing of their wealth to the next generation. Given the extent of this impending wealth transfer, the investment implications of this thematic are worth being aware of.

21 Sept 2023
 · 5 MIN READ

What’s the right timeframe for investing in equities?

Aussie investors are generally overweight equities so establishing the right timeframe for equity investment is a common question. It’s also core to ensuring your portfolio delivers the performance you want and deserve. And with average holding periods moving in the wrong direction, the chances are high that many investors are leaving valuable returns on the table. So it could well be time to ask yourself… what’s the right timeframe for investing in equities?

13 Sept 2023
 · 6 MIN READ

Why ethical management teams are the best kind

Most successful investors will testify to the fact that selecting outperforming stocks is as much about identifying high quality management teams as it is about analysing the numbers, arguably more so. With outperformance in mind, one of the leading indicators of a high quality management team is their ethics. It’s an area worthy of investor attention.

1 Sept 2023
 · 5 MIN READ