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The Bigger Picture - May 2026

April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.

Investor EducationMacroInvestment Themes
3 May 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

The Bigger Picture - May 2026

April confirmed what markets had begun to suspect: the global macro backdrop has changed. Higher geopolitical risk is now structurally entrenched. Markets have quickly adjusted to this unfortunate new reality across all asset classes. Geopolitical risk has reasserted itself as a primary driver of energy prices, inflation expectations, and capital flows. Investors still anchored to the old world of low inflation, cheap money, and frictionless globalisation risk being structurally mispositioned.

Investor EducationMacroInvestment Themes
3 May 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

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The Bigger Picture April 2026

Buckle up. Markets are undergoing a structural shift. The era of easy gains driven by liquidity and exposure to US big tech appears to be fading. In its place is emerging a more selective environment defined by rising geopolitical risk, elevated inflationary pressures, and widening dispersion between companies, sectors, and asset classes.

MacroInvestment ThemesInvestor Education
5 Apr 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 5 MIN READ

Overvalued vs Undervalued Sectors in 2026: Where Smart Investors Are Reallocating Now

2026 is emerging as a year when it pays to understand what’s happening beneath the surface of markets. Whilst global equity markets have been weaker, there have been a number of consequential sectoral shifts behind the index headlines, some of which have insulated savvy investors from the broader weakness. Moreover, some of these shifts may be here to stay, determining the market outlook for the full year and beyond.

MacroInvestor EducationInvestment Themes
2 Apr 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 8 MIN READ

What Do Higher Oil Prices Mean for Markets?

Investors have long watched oil prices as a gauge of global inflation, corporate profitability, geopolitical risk, and consumer spending. When it moves sharply in one direction, it’s arguably one of the most heeded signals in the market. When it spikes, the news headlines often predict equity market turmoil. When it collapses, they are more focused on the likelihood of a global recession.

Asset AllocationMining, Resources & EnergyMacroInvestor Education
23 Mar 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 6 MIN READ

The AI Inflection Point: What It Means for Investors

How many times have you heard people talk down AI’s role in the future of humanity? We’ve all heard the feedback: ‘It’s unreliable’, ‘It will never replace humans for anything but low-value jobs,’ and ‘It’s all a flash in the pan.’ But what if these excuses are simply defensive responses because the truth is too earth-shattering to accept: the productivity promise of AI is already real.

TechnologyMacroInvestor Education
1 Mar 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 8 MIN READ

Why the Debasement Trade Matters

If you know many gold bugs, and there are certainly more of them around these days, you may have observed that the number of them touting the arrival of ‘debasement trade’ is on the rise. However, this idea is far from being a new or short-term phenomenon, nor for gold bugs’ eyes only. It’s been a simmering issue for years, and is likely to matter for all investors for many years to come.

Currency, Crypto and ICOCommoditiesMacroInvestor Education
9 Feb 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 7 MIN READ

Investing in the Age of Discontent

If you’re a news reader, you’re probably feeling like the world is engulfed in a crisis with no end date in sight. It sure feels like that as bad story after bad story is channelled toward news consumers around the world. Take your pick of which one that matters most. Trump’s latest offensive tweet, the housing shortage, the cost of living, the system, the list goes on.

MacroInvestment ThemesCommoditiesETF
4 Feb 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 7 MIN READ

The Megatrends Here to Stay

Most of the world’s great investors are masters at identifying structural investment trends they can rely to drive their portfolio performance for decades rather than weeks. Whilst predicting the long term future is anything but easy, successfully identifying megatrends is likely to make your life as an investor a lot easier.

Investment ThemesMacroETFInvestor Education
14 Jan 2026
 · Simon Turner
 · 8 MIN READ

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